![]() + Tomlin is 37-15-1 ATS (71%) as an underdog from Week 5 forward, and he’s even better at home, a nearly unbeatable 13-2-1 ATS (87%) in that spot, winning the last six such instances outright. Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers are 11-3-1 ATS after allowing 35+ points in their previous game. Teams after playing Buffalo are 14-23 ATS the following week since 2020, failing to cover 10 of the past 12 games in this spot. The Steelers lost to the Bills last week. + Since 2016, Brady is 36-6 SU and 32-13 ATS when facing a team allowing 24+ PPG. + Brady is 20-4 SU, 14-11 ATS when facing a team coming off scoring fewer than 10 pts over the past 20 years (won 9 straight SU). + Since 2009, Brady is 6-0 SU/ATS after a three-plus game ATS losing streak, covering the spread by 20 PPG. ![]() + Tom Brady and the Bucs have failed to cover the spread in three straight games, the first time that’s happened to Brady since 2019. Top Tom Brady notes and trends this week… Teams coming off a road game in a “party city” are 3-9-1 ATS this season and 49-76-4 ATS since 2019. In the past 20 years, teams coming off playing in a “party city” - which we are designating as Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Atlanta, New Orleans and Miami - are 239-329-15 against the spread (42.1%). The Bears are 0-5 against the first-half spread this season (T-worst with Cardinals/ Colts). Over the past 20 years, those teams are 18-32 ATS. If the Bears close as favorites, it will already be the 3rd night game this year to have a team open as an underdog and close as a favorite - those teams went 0-2 SU/ATS. Commanders were 1.5-point favorites on the lookahead line. Road QBs have thrown an interception in 12 of 16 night games this season.īack & Forth. + In those 29 night games, Washington is 3-11 SU, 3-10-1 ATS on the road. + In the past decade, the Commanders are 8-20-1 ATS at night, the least profitable team at night in the NFL. + Wentz is 6-0 in his career on TNF- most wins without a loss by any starting QB on Thursday Night Football in the Super Bowl era. He’s the most profitable QB ATS at night in the NFL over the past decade (+$695). ![]() No other Bears QB over the past 20 years has more than three losses without a win at night. With an ATS loss, he would be the least profitable Bears QB ATS in primetime over the past 20 years. ![]() + The Bears are 19-35-1 ATS since 2019 and are the least profitable team ATS in the NFL. Going back even further, unders at night are 105-74-3 (58.7%) since 2019.Īnd in this sweet spot range with a total from 37 to 40, Thursday night unders are a ridiculous 18–4–1 (82%) and go under by 9.7 points per game. + Unders at night are 11-5 so far this season. + The under is now 16-5 (76%) in the last 21 games on Thursday Night Football. + The under is 35-26-1 (57.4%) on Thursday Night Football over the past 20 years when the over/under is below 42. ![]()
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